Thursday, September 2 / 4:00 PM - 5:30 PM   •   Room HS16

Session 40:
Modelling demographic change in the context of uncertainty

Chair: Arnstein Aassve, Università Bocconi

  1. Bayesian time series models for forecasting population growth in England and WalesGuy J. Abel, University of Southampton ; Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton ; Jonathan J. Forster, University of Southampton ; James Raymer, University of Southampton ; Peter W.F. Smith, University of Southampton

  2. Bayesian forecasting of immigration to selected European countries using expert knowledgeJakub Bijak, University of Southampton ; Arkadiusz Wisniowski, University of Southampton

  3. Multiregional population projection models with uncertaintyJames Raymer, University of Southampton ; Andrei Rogers, University of Colorado at Boulder ; Guy J. Abel, University of Southampton

  4. Simpler versus more complex population forecasting methods for regions and local areas: evidence from AustraliaTom Wilson, University of Queensland

  5. Integrated modelling of European migrationArkadiusz Wisniowski, University of Southampton ; Jonathan J. Forster, University of Southampton ; James Raymer, University of Southampton ; Peter W.F. Smith, University of Southampton ; Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton ; Guy J. Abel, University of Southampton

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