Thursday, September 2 / 16:00 PM - 17:30 PM   •   Room HS16

Session 40:
Modelling demographic change in the context of uncertainty

Chair: Arnstein Aassve, Università Bocconi

  1. Multiregional population projection models with uncertainty Andrei Rogers, University of Colorado at Boulder; James Raymer, University of Southampton; Guy J. Abel, University of Southampton;

  2. Integrated modelling of European migration James Raymer, University of Southampton; Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton; Peter W.F. Smith, University of Southampton; Guy J. Abel, University of Southampton; Arkadiusz Wisniowski, University of Southampton; Jonathan J. Forster, University of Southampton;

  3. Simpler versus more complex population forecasting methods for regions and local areas: evidence from Australia Tom Wilson, University of Queensland;

  4. Bayesian time series models for forecasting population growth in England and Wales James Raymer, University of Southampton; Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton; Peter W.F. Smith, University of Southampton; Guy J. Abel, University of Southampton; Jonathan J. Forster, University of Southampton;

  5. Bayesian forecasting of immigration to selected European countries using expert knowledge Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton; Arkadiusz Wisniowski, University of Southampton;

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